Week 11 Best of the Rest - Waiver Wire Scrap Bin


You woke up to find you were out-bid on your first choice of quarterback or tight end stream, or you didn’t have high enough waiver priority to get Jakobi Meyers as a WR3 you could plug in during Allen Robinson’s bye. The Bills, Bears, Giants and 49ers are all off this week and you’re one win outside of playoff contention. Now what?


The Best Of The Rest will shine a light into the dark corners of your free agent pile, looking for players under 30% owned - and usually far under that. Dig through these scraps to find someone who will still be there for you on Sunday morning when you make that last-minute strategic drop to grab someone poised for a ceiling game that can get you through the week.


There’s still time!



QUARTERBACK


ALEX SMITH - Washington Football Team

(Ownership in: NFL.com = 1.5%; Yahoo = 5%; ESPN = 6%)

I’ll go out on a limb and predict that Alex Smith does not replicate his 390 passing yard performance from last week. But I’ll also predict that he does not repeat his 0 passing TD performance last week as well.


The man who is sure to be the NFL’s comeback player of the year goes up against a team allowing a completion percentage of 62.6% to opposing quarterbacks and giving up the 6th most points to the position in the league. The Bengals received a drubbing on the road against the Pittsburgh Steelers last week and would likely use that as motivation to come out hot against Chase Young and the Football Team defense, keeping this game close. I can see Alex Smith getting passing touchdowns to his 3 skill positions (predicting McIssic, McLaurin and Sprinkle here) to keep the opposing defense on its toes, on the way to this game hitting the over.


CEILING PREDICTION: 250 yards + 3 passing touchdowns + -5 rushing yards = 21.5 points


RUNNING BACK


REX BURKHEAD - New England Patriots (@ Houston)

(Ownership in: NFL.com = 16%; Yahoo = 25%; ESPN = 30%)


Teams allowing more points to running backs than the Houston Texans:


  1. Detroit Lions


End of list.


With the simultaneous breakouts of Jakobi Meyers and Damien Harris the lion’s share of the receptions and carries will go to those two, but the versatile Burkhead can come in relief for either of those positions and it paid off last week as he was on the field to catch touchdown passes from both Cam Newton and Meyers.


With Harris and Cam getting a lot of run against a weak Texans run D, I can see Rex having a similar stat line as week 10 with one less touchdown.


CEILING PLAY: 35 rushing yards + 35 receiving yards + 1 rushing touchdown = 12.5 points

WIDE RECEIVER


MICHAEL PITTMAN JR - Indianapolis Colts (vs. Green Bay)

(Ownership in: NFL.com = 7%; Yahoo = 30%; ESPN = 16%)

He’s been touted this week as a key waiver wire pick up, but still remains criminally under-rostered and can add value as a WR3 or flex through the last five weeks of the fantasy year.


It is understandable to avoid the matchup against the Packers, especially with [definitive answers on Jaire Alexander’s availability](https://www.cbssports.com/fantasy/football/news/packers-jaire-alexander-still-managing-injury/) for this game hard to come by. But consider that, outside of his special teams successes last week, Keelan Cole managed to break off close to 50 yards and a touchdown last week against a Packers defense missing Alexander and King. With this game having one of the highest over/under totals of the week and Pittman emerging as a favorite target of Philip Rivers (7 and 8 targets over the last two weeks respectively) it’s easy to see him replicating Cole’s offensive numbers from last week.


CEILING PLAY: 60 receiving yards + 10 rushing yards + 1 touchdown = 13 points

TIGHT END


DREW SAMPLE - Cincinnati Bengals (@ Washington)

(Ownership in: NFL.com = 7%; Yahoo = 30%; ESPN = 16%)



I will yadda yadda my way through the “TE wasteland” cliche and say that finding a tight end with a good matchup AND good opportunity is just about a non-starter this week. Logan Thomas is owned just enough to not qualify for this article at 35% ownership, so if he is out there, grab him first.


Instead we’ll look at his counterpart on the other side of the field, Drew Sample. The Washington Football Team is the only great TE matchup that has a player remaining on the waiver wire which is why he’s getting a look this week. WFT has allowed almost a quarter of the fantasy points scored against them to come from opposing tight ends, so while Sample has not been used very frequently by Burrow & co. he shouldn’t kill you if he’s in your starting line up - and at this point, if you haven’t got Travis Kelce, it’s all we can ask from a tight end. Any time he has broken 45 receiving yards, it has been against bottom tier TE defenders, so I like him to set his season-high in yardage this week, a stark turnaround from the duds that sandwiched the Bengals bye week.


CEILING PLAY: 58 receiving yards = 5.8 points

Thanks for reading! Be sure to check out more helpful fantasy football articles below, or follow @ClinicFantasy on Twitter for daily fantasy advice. Good luck this weekend!

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