Waivers have run and you were out-bid on your first choice of streaming quarterback or defense by a buck. You’re in bye week hell (Atlanta, Kansas City & Dallas are all off) and going up against the first place team in your league. Now what?
The Best Of The Rest will shine a light into the dark corners of your free agent pile. Everyone is under 30% owned at the most and so should be available to help as a high ceiling plug-and-plays that won’t kill you and will get you through to Week 12.
DREW LOCK - Denver Broncos
(Ownership in: NFL.com = 6%; Yahoo = 22%; ESPN = 18%)
The Las Vegas Raiders are allowing the fifth most points to the quarterback, and Drew Lock has put up good and great numbers against similarly bad defenses the last two weeks. He’s thrown the ball at least 40 times the last 3 weeks (40 - 41 - 48 attempts) and that trend will continue as he’ll have to keep pace with the team that put up 31 points last week. The Raiders aren’t known for intercepting opponents this season, only catching three of the opposing quarterbacks passes, so I expect his 4-game streak of throwing an INT to end this week.
Keep an eye on the playing status of Jerry Jeudy (shoulder) who was a significant outlet for Lock last week, soaking up 14 targets.
PREDICTION: 275 yard - 3 TDs = 23 points
RYAN NALL - Chicago Bears
(Ownership in: NFL.com = 2%; Yahoo = 1%; ESPN = 0%)
This pick up should only be made if David Montgomery is ruled out for Monday night against the Vikings, so monitor his status throughout the week. While Nall did not receive any carries after Montgomery left the game against the Titans, he did catch all four of his target for 35 yards and a touchdown.
If we can assume two things - 1) that he can be a semi-efficient runner in combination with his pass catching and 2) he receives a similar load to the workhorse Montgomery - Ryan Nall should be able to have a successful night in primetime.
PREDICTION: 40 yards rushing - 45 yards receiving - 1 receiving touchdown = 14.5 points
JALEN REAGOR - Philadelphia Eagles
(Ownership in: NFL.com = 13%; Yahoo = 26%; ESPN = 20%)
The Eagles' first round draft pick is available in far too many leagues, flying under the radar after his bye week, and is set up very well to be an every week starter for you the rest of the season. There are a lot of mouths to feed in Philadelphia right now with Miles Sanders on the cusp of returning, Travis Fulgham becoming a standout and Dallas Goedert back from IR, but the New York Giants defense should allow the points to flow to all Eagles players. I project James Bradberry will see more of Fulgham than Reagor, allowing Reagor to rack up yards.
PREDICTION: 90 yards + 1 touchdown = 15 points
IRV SMITH JR - Minnesota Vikings
(Ownership in: NFL.com = 3%; Yahoo = 10%; ESPN = 5%)
Irv Smith scored his first touchdown of the season in week 9. He also scored his second touchdown of the season in week 9.
This feels like chasing points, but the stage is set for the Vikings pass catchers to produce on Monday night. The Bears have defended the run very well this season so I project the end to Dalvin Cook’s stretch of triple digit rushing yards and Irv Smith becomes a short yardage outlet for Kirk Cousins as he faces the Chicago pass rush. I project Smith Jr gets a season-high in targets, including one touchdown against a team that has allowed a touchdown to the TE position in 6 out of 9 weeks.
PROJECTION: 8 targets - 65 yards - 1 TD = 12.5 points
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